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European Population Conference EPC'2003
List of abstracts
Here you can find the complete list of all abstracts.
List of abstracts grouped by sessions is presented in:
Structure of EPC'2003.
Here you can find:
Pdf version of Final Programme & Abstracts
PAPER SESSIONS
Theme A: Fertility trends and patterns
Convenor: Mrs. Jitka Rychtařiková, Czech Republic
Address: Charles University, Faculty of Science, Department of Demography and Geodemography,
Albertov 6, CZ-128 43 PRAGUE, Czech Republic
E-mail: rychta@natur.cuni.cz
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Session A1: Parenthood and labour force participation - The western experience
Organiser: Jan HOEM, Sweden hoem@demogr.mpg.de
Wednesday, August 27, 9.30-11.00, C Hall
- Henriette ENGELHARDT and Alexia PRSKAWETZ (Austria/Germany). On the changing relationship between fertility and female employment over space and time. henriette.engelhardt@oeaw.ac.at fuernkranz@demogr.mpg.de
- Martina Lo CONTE, Cinzia CASTAGNARO and Valentina TALUCCI (Italy). The first sampling survey on birth in Italy: purposes and results. loconte@istat.it cicastag@istat.it
- Fausta ONGARO and Silvana SALVINI (Italy). Again on relationships between professional choices and reproductive choices: analysis in an urban context. ongaro@stat.unipd.it salvini@ds.unifi.it
- Gunnar ANDERSSON and Ann-Zofie DUVANDER (Germany/Sweden). Second and third births in Sweden during the 1980s and the 1990s: The effect of the labor-market attachment of both partners. andersson@demogr.mpg.de ann-zofie.duvander@rfv.sfa.se
Session A2: Conditions of parenthood in Central and Eastern Europe
Organiser: Kalev KATUS, Estonia kalev@ekdk.estnet.ee
Thursday, August 28, 9.30- 11.00, room C
- Zsolt SPEDER (Hungary). Childbearing behaviour under new structural circumstances. speder@mailop.ksh.hu
- Aneta PTAK-CHMIELEWSKA (Poland). Study of parallel careers in Demography: First and second births in Poland before transition. aneta.chmielewska@acn.waw.pl
- Jana PALONCYOVA (Czech Republic). Changes in marital and extra-marital fertility in the Czech Republic in the last ten-year period. jana.paloncyova@vupsv.cz
- Jitka RICHTARIKOVA (Czech Republic). Have changes in socio-economic conditions altered the Czech Female Fertility Pattern by educational attainment? Results from the Czech census records of 1991 and 2001. rychta@natur.cuni.cz
- Zina PALYAN (Ukraine). The comparative characteristic of the reproductive behavior of the urban and rural women in Ukraine. statist@kneu.kiev.ua
Session A3: Timing fertility
Organiser: Gijs Beets, Netherlands beets@nidi.nl
Friday, August 29, 9.30-11.00, room C
- José Antonio ORTEGA and Hans-Peter KOHLER (Spain/ USA). "Fertility forecasts based on quantum-tempo decomposition". joseantonio.ortega@uam.es
- Tomas SOBOTKA (Netherlands). Exploring the patterns of postponement and recuperation of period fertility in Europe. sobotka@frw.rug.nl
- Mare Ainsaar TARTU and Ene-Margit Tiit TARTU (Estonia). Postponement of births - a case of Estonia. mare@psych.ut.ee etiit@ut.ee
- Pijro PAAJANEN (Finland). Women and postponing of childbearing in Finland. pirjo.paajanen@vaestoliitto.fi
- Trude LAPPEGARD and Marit RONSEN (Norway). Educational attainment and timing of first birth among women in Norway. trude.lappegard@ssb.no marit.ronsen@ssb.no
Session A4: Specific fertility patterns
Organiser: Jitka Rychtařiková, Czech Republic rychta@natur.cuni.cz
Saturday, August 30, 9.30-11.00, room D.
Teenagers
- Irena ROZMAN (Slovenia). Explaining demographic trends in teenage fertility in Slovenia, 1900-2002. irena.rozman@zrc-sazu.si
- Per-Gunnar CASSEL (Sweden). Casting light on the steady increase of teen-age abortions in Sweden. Pg.cassel@abc.se
- Magali MAZUY (France). Fertility of young adults in France. mazuy@ined.fr
Stepfamilies
- Ursula HENZ and Elizabeth THOMSON (UK/USA). Union stability and stepfamily fertility in Austria, Finland, France & West Germany. u.henz@lse.ac.uk Thomson@ssc.wisc.edu
- Laurent TOULEMON (France). What does matter for stepfamily fertility? Number of previous children from both partners and residence of the previous children with the couple. toulemon@ined.fr
Session A5: Attitudes and value change regarding fertility
Organiser: Dirk van de Kaa, Netherlands djvandekaa@compuserve.com
Friday, August29, 15.00 -16.30, C Hall.
- Joshua R. GOLDSTEIN, Wolfgang LUTZ and Maria Rita TESTA (USA/Austria). The emergence of sub-replacement fertility ideals in Europe. josh@opr.princeton.edu lutz@iiasa.ac.at maria.rita.testa@oeaw.ac.at
- Iveta PAINA and Parsla EGLITE (Latvia). Desired number of children in one's own family and motives of it in Latvia. spiceina@lza.lv
- Gijs BEETS and Ingrid ESVELDT (Netherlands). Voluntary and involuntary childlessness anno 2002. beets@nidi.nl
- Letizia MENCARINI and M.Letizia TANTURRI (Italy). Too many, one or not at all: differences and similarities among women of different parities in Italy. mencarin@ds.unifi.it tanturri@ds.unifi.it
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Theme B: Families and households
Convenor: Fausta Ongaro, Italy
Address: Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche,
Via San Francesco 33, I-35100 PADOVA, Italy
E-mail: ongaro@marvin.stat.unipd.it
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Session B1: Transition to adulthood
Organiser: L. Toulemon, France toulemon@ined.fr
Thursday, August 28, 11.30 - 13.00, room C.
- Aart LIEFBROER and Pearl DYKSTRA (Netherlands) Long-term changes in the transition into adulthood in Netherlands: Putting the process of destandardization into perspective. liefbroer@nidi.nl dykstra@nidi.nl
- Stefano MAZZUCO (Italy) A comparative analysis of the effects of children departures from home on parents' wellbeing. mazzuco@stat.unipd.it
- Arnstein AASSVE, Francesco BILLARI and Zsolt SPEDER (England/Italy/Hungary) Turning points in early adulthood: the impact of the transition to market economy in Hungary. aa128@leicester.ac.uk francesco.billari@uni-bocconi.it speder@mailop.ksh.hu
Session B2: Moving into or out of unions in contemporary Europe
Organiser: Fausta Ongaro, Italy< ongaro@marvin.stat.unipd.it
Saturday, August 30, 9.30 - 11.00, room C
- Alessandro ROSINA and Robina FRABONI (Italy). Is marriage loosing its centrality in Italy? alessandro.rosina@mi.unicatt.it
- Anette JENSEN and Lisbeth KNUDSEN (Denmark). The changing patterns of remarrying in Denmark. anj@demfo.sdu.dk ; lbk@socsci.auc.dk
- Jean-Marie Le GOFF (Switzerland). Transition to cohabitation and marriage in France and in West Germany. Links with family policies. Jean-Marie.LeGoff@pavie.unil.ch
- Kari SKREDE and Torkild Hovde LYNGSTAD (Norway). Children as marital specific capital: the relationship between family composition and marital disruption in Norvegian first marriages 1980-1999. kse@ssb.no thl@ssb.no
Session B3: Determinants of family formation
Organiser: M. Castiglioni, Italy casti@stat.unipd.it
Thursday, August 28,15.00-16.30, room C.
- Laura BERNARDI (Germany). Delayed parenthood: individual postponement or social construction?. Laura_Bernardi@brown.edu
- Dirk KONIETZKA and Michaela KREYENFELD (Germany). Women's economic independence and the transition to first marriage and first birth in Germany. Dirk.konietzka@wisofak.uni-rostock.de kreyenfeld@demogr.mpg.de
- Cheti NICOLETTI and Maria Letizia TANTURRI (UK/Italy). Entry into motherhood in Europe: does women's career matter? Iserg016@essex.ac.uk tanturri@ds.unifi.it
- Livia OLAH and Ewa FRATCZAK (Sweden/Poland). First and second births in first marriage in Hungary and Poland. A comparative analysis based on FFS-data. Livia.olah@sociology.su.se ewaf@sgh.waw.pl
- Vida CESNUITYTE (Liethuania). Family formation as lifestyle of individuals with different social statuses in Lithuania. vidac@takas.lt
Session B4: New living arrangements and new family relationships
Organiser: Ann Berrington, United Kingdom amb6@socsci.soton.ac.uk
Friday, August 29, 17.00-18.30, room C.
- Marjolijn Van de KLIS (Netherlands). A socio-spatial perspective on commuter marriage. mvanderklis@fmg.uva.nl
- Tomas KATRNAK (Czech Republic). Structural causes of the increase in the number of single people in the Czech Republic in the 1990's. katrnak@fss.muni.cz
- Turid NOACK and Ane SEIERSTAD (Norway). Divorces in registered partnership.
turid.noack@ssb.no ane.seierstad@ssb.no
Session B5: Family pathways and individual life course
Organiser: Teresa Castro Martin, Spain tcastro@ieg.csic.es
Wednesday, August 27, 15.00 - 16.30, room D.
- Ann BERRINGTON, Riccardo BORGONI, R. INGHAM, P.W.F. SMITH; J. STEVENSON (UK). Graphical chain modelling of pathways into and subsequent from teenage parenthood. amb6@socsci.soton.ac.uk borg1@socsci.soton.ac.uk R.Ingham@soton.ac.uk pws@socsci.soton.ac.uk jsteven@soton.ac.uk
- Lucia COPPOLA (Italy). Reciprocal causality and endogeneity between exit from the educational system and union formation in Italy and Spain. lucoppola@tiscali.it
- Peteke FEIJTEN (Netherlands). The disrupting effect of divorce and unemployment on home-ownership in the life course. p.feijten@geog.uu.nl
- Juliette HALIFAX (France).Behaviour of korean adopted in france toward their biological family. halifax@ined.fr
- Alain MONNIER and Sophie PENNEC (France). Orphans in France: an unknown reality. monnier@ined.fr pennec@ined.fr
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Theme C: Reproductive health
Convenor: Mr. Henri Leridon, France
Address: Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques,
133 Boulevard Davout, F-75980 PARIS CEDEX 20, France
E-mail: leridon@ined.fr
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Session C1: Infertility problems and medically assisted procreation
Organiser: Guillaume Wunsch, Belgium wunsch@demo.ucl.ac.be
Wednesday, August 27, 9.30 -11.00, room C
- Catherine GOURBIN and Eva GARDOS (Belgium/Hungary). Trends in fotal mortality in Hungary. gourbin@demo.ucl.ac.be Eva.Gardos@office.ksh.hu
- Anne-Marie NYBO ANDERSEN and George DAVEY-SMITH. (Denmark/UK). Increased risk of fotal loss with advanced paternal age. A.Nybo@socmed.ku.dk zetkin@bristol.ac.uk
- Nina RUSANOVA (Russia). Reproductive health, reproductive potential and fertility problems (Russia). yakimov@ipmt-hpm.ac.ru
Session C2: Contraception and induced abortion in Europe
Organiser: Janina Jóźwiak, Poland ninaj@sgh.waw.pl
Wednesday, August 27, 15.00 -16.30, room A+B.
- Gail GRANT (UK). Abortion decline in the Baltic States. gpg@socsci.soton.ac.uk
- Vibeke RASCH and Lisbeth KNUDSEN (Denmark). Induced abortions among immigrant women in denmark. Findings from a hospital-based questionnaire study. VRasch@health.sdu.dk lbk@socsci.auc.dk
- Mirjana RASEVIC (Yugoslavia). Voluntary sterilization in serbia: unmet need? mrasevic@eunet.yu
- Clementine ROSSIER, Nathalie BAJOS and Nicolas BROUARD (France).A new model to understand the process leading women to have an abortion. Decomposing the effects of socio-demographic variables on abortion risk using survey data, France, 2000. clementine.rossier@ined.fr bajos@vjf.inserm.fr brouard@ined.fr
- Marta SUGAREVA (Bulgaria) Contemporary tendences of contraception and abortion in Bulgaria, sugareva@yahoo.com
Session C3: Contraception and induced abortion in other countries
Organiser: Osmo Kontula, Finland Osmo.Kontula@vaestoliitto.fi
Friday, August 29, 17.00 - 18.30, room D.
- CLEMENTS S, BASCHERI A., HENNIK M., MADISE N., STEPHENSEN R.. (UK).Areal variation in contraceptive use in East Africa. src@socsci.soton.ac.uk
- Celine VANDERMEERSCH (France). Contraceptive use on Réunion Island. celine_va@hotmail.com
Session C4: Reproductive health behavior
Organiser: Henri Leridon, France leridon@ined.fr
Saturday, August 30, 9.30 - 11.00, room E+F
- Sofie De BROE (UK).Use of pregnancy related care and family planning in Guatemala sofie@socsci.soton.ac.uk
- Osmo KONTULA (Finland).Sexual and reproductive behaviour among teenagers in Europe in 1990s. Osmo.Kontula@vaestoliitto.fi
- Ryuzaburo SATO, Makoto ATOH, Shinkichi SUGIOMRI, Naoko NAKAUNE, Tsugo SHIMAZAKI, Gianpiero Dalla ZUANNA. (Japan/Italy). Adolescent reproductive health in Japan and Italy. RYUZABURO@ipss.go.jp
- Riikka SHEMEIKKA and Veijo NOTKOLA (Finland). Fertility and HIV in Northern Namibia. rraitis@valt.helsinki.fi veijo.notkola@kuntoutussaatio.fi
- Basia ZABA, Richard WHITE, Raphael ISINGO, Jessica NAKIYINGI, Helen VOETEN (UK). Mobility, partnership formation and HIV infection in East Africa. basia.zaba@lshtm.ac.uk
Session C5: Biomedical aspects of reproductive health
Organiser: James Vaupel, Germany vaupel@demogr.mpg.de
Thursday, August 28, 15.00-16.30,room E+F
- Gilles PISON, Nadege COUVERT (France). Fertility after twin births in France. pison@ined.fr
- Giulia RIVELLINI and Alessandro ROSINA (Italy). Late maternal age and risk of congenital malformations in Italy. giulia.rivellini@mi.unicatt.it alessandro.rosina@mi.unicatt.it
- Yaikah Marie JENG (UK). Postpartum infections in developing countries: a systematic review. yaikeh.jeng@lshtm.ac.uk
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Theme D: Health, Morbidity and Mortality
Convenors:
Anton E. Kunst, Netherlands in co-operation with Janina Jóźwiak, Poland
Address: Erasmus University, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences,
P.O. Box 1738, NL-3000 DR ROTTERDAM, Netherlands
E-mail: a.kunst@erasmusmc.nl
Address: Warsaw School of Economics, Institute of Statistics and Demography
02-554 Warsaw, Al.Niepodległości 162, Poland
E-mail: ninaj@sgh.waw.pl
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Session D1: Health and mortality differentials
Organiser: Tapani Valkonen, Finland Tapani.Valkonen@Helsinki.fi Thursday, August 28, 9.30 - 11.00, C Hall.
- Marc LUY (Germany). Nature or behaviour? An answer to the question of male excess mortality by a comparison of monastic and general population. marc.luy@destatis.de
- Etelka DARÓCZI (Hungary). National mortality levels and macro indicators. An European overview . daroczi@mailop.ksh.hu
- Domantas JASILIONIS (Liethuania). Urban-rural gap in life expectancy at birth in Lithuania. domasj@ktl.mii.lt
- Rune JACOBSEN, Niels KEIDING, Elsebeth LYNGE (Denmark). Birth cohort effects on mortality in Danish women. R.Jacobsen@pubhealth.ku.dk
- Gabriele DOBLHAMMER, Kaare CHRISTENSEN (Germany/Denmark). Do the differences in life span by month of birth persist among cohorts born today? Evidence from the Minnesota twin family study. doblhammer@demogr.mpg.de Kchristensen@health.sdu.dk
- Jon ANSON, Ofra ANSON (Israel) Epidemiological Patterns within a national mortality system: differentiation by population group and local area physical quality of life in Israel. Anson@bgumail.bgu.il, ofra@bgumail.bgu.il
Session D2: Socio-economic factors of health and mortality
Organiser: Jolanta Kurkiewicz, Poland, kurkiewj@ae.krakow.pl kurkiewj@ae.krakow.pl
Wednesday, August 27, 17.00- 18.30, room D.
- Dorly DEEG, Marjolein BROESE VAN GROENOU (Netherlands). Chronic poverty and physical and mental health in older partnerless women. djh.deeg.emgo@med.vu.nl
- Fjalar FINNÄS (Finland). Retirement due to disability and mortality in Finland. A comparison of two languages groups. Fjalar.finnas@abo.fi
- Natalia G. PETROVA, Semyon SIVASHINSKY (Russia). Mortality dynamics in St.-Petersburg, Russia, under conditions of socio-economic instability (1989-2000). svs@emi.spb.su
- Daniel EXETER, Paul BOYLE, Robin FLOWERDEW (UK). Winners and losers in changing geography of Scottish mortality 1981-2001. d.exeter@st-andrews.ac.uk
- Ulrich MÜLLER, Monika HENZEL_GUTENBUNNER, Sabine GROOS (Germany), Income, life style and health - a comparison of its association in capitalist West and communist East Germany 1939). mueller2@mailer.uni-marburg.de heinzelg@mailer.uni-marburg.de grooss@mailer.uni-marburg.de
Session D3: Innovative research methods in health and mortality
Organiser: Ofra Anson, Netherlands ofra@bgumail.bgu.ac.il
Saturday, August 30, 9.30 - 11.00, room A+B
- Biruta SKRĘTOWICZ and Rafał GORCZYCA (Poland). Self-reported health status - model approach. biruta@galen.imw.lublin.pl; Rafal@galen.imw.lublin.pl
- Roland RAU (Germany). Seasonal mortality in Denmark - the Role of age and sex. rau@demogr.mpg.de
- Joop GARSSEN, Vivian BOS, Anton KUNST and Anouschka VAN DER MEULEN (Netherlands). Variations in cause-specific mortality risks between natives and migrants in the Netherlands, 1996 - 2001. jgsn@CBS.nl
- Anette ERLANGSEN (Germany). Suicide in the old and the oldest old: physical illness and admission to general hospital. erlangsen@demogr.mpg.de
- Isabella LOCATELLI, Paul LICHTENSTEIN and Anatoli I.YASHIN (Italy/ Sweden/ Germany).A bayesian correlated frailty model applied to swedish breast cancer data. Isabella.locatelli@uni-bocconi.it Paul.lichtenstein@mep.ki.se Yashin@demogr.mpg.de
Session D4: Trends in mortality in European populations
Organiser: Vladimir Shkolnikov, Russia shkolnikov@demogr.mpg.de
Thursday, August 28, 11.30 - 13.00, room D.
- Katalin KOVACS (Hungary). Mortality by marital status in Hungary in the lats two decades.
- Fanny JANSSEN, Johan MACKENBACH and Anton KUNST (Netherlands).Cohort patterns in the trends in all-cause and cause-specific mortality among the elderly in seven european low-mortality countries, 1950-1999. janssen@mgz.fgg.eur.nl mackenbach@mgz.fgg.eur.nl kunst@mgz.fgg.eur.nl
- Jeroen J.A. SPIJKER, Frans VAN POPPEL & Leo VAN WISSEN (Spain - Netherlands).Explaining new trends in the gender gap of mortality: Insights from a regional trend-analysis of Netherlands. jspijker@ced.uab.es poppel@nidi.nl; wissen@nidi.nl l.j.g.van.wissen@frw.rug.nl
- Ewa TABEAU, Marcin ZOLTKOWSKI, Jakub BIJAK, Minka DUNCKER, Population losses in the "siege" of Sarajevo, 10 September 1992 to 10 August 1994. Tabeaue@yahoo.com
- JDANOVA (Russia). Dynamics of suicide mortality in developed countries. diji@mail.ru
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Theme E: Regional population dynamics and internal migration
Convenor: Mr. Philip Rees, United Kingdom
Address: The University of Leeds, School of Geography,
UK- LEEDS LS2 9JT, United Kingdom
E-mail: p.rees@geog.leeds.ac.uk
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Session E1: Individual and household migration within social and economic systems
Organiser: Philip Rees, United Kingdom p.rees@geog.leeds.ac.uk Thursday, August 28, 9.30 - 11.00, room D
- Michel POULAIN (Belgium). Is it possible to identify individual migrations and household migrations? Poulain@spri.ucl.ac.be
- Amanda HELDERMAN and Clara MULDER (Netherlands). The changing effects of household situation on residential mobility and migration. A.C.Helderman@uva.nl
- Thierry EGGERICKX, Jean-Pierre HERMIA and Nicolas PERRIN (Belgium). Suburbanisation and departure to old peoples' homes: a case study of the elderly migrants of the Brussels area. hermia@sped.ucl.ac.be perrin@spri.ucl.ac.be
- Frank HEINS (Italy). An exploratory study of internal migration by educational attainment: differences in intensity and timing and its regional impact. Heins@irp.rm.cnr.it
- Clara MULDER and Maarten VAN HAM (Netherlands). Migration histories and occupational achievement. C.Mulder@frw.uva.nl MvanHam@fmg.uva.nl
Session E2: Measuring and explaining the pattern of migration and its consequences
Organiser: Marek Kupiszewski, Poland m.kupisz@twarda.pan.pl Wednesday, August 27, 15.00- 16.30, room E+F
- Martin BELL, Philip REES and Tom WILSON (England/Australia). Comparing internal migration between countries: who collects what? p.rees@geog.leeds.ac.uk martin.bell@uq.edu.au t.wilson1@uq.edu.au
- Sandor ILLES (Hungary). Centres of gravity of internal migration in Hungary. illess@mailop.ksh.hu
- Hill KULU and Francesco BILLARI (Estonia/Italy). Migration to urban and rural destinations in post-soviet estonia: a multilevel analysis. hill@math.ut.ee francesco.billari@uni-bocconi.it
- Nicole VAN DER GAAG (Netherlands). A conceptual model of interregional migration. gaag@nidi.nl
- Francesca MICHIELIN (Italy).Lowest low fertility in an urban context. The role of migration in Turin, Italy. Mika@stat.unipd.it
- O.V. STAROVEROV (Russia). The extension of pull-push model. starov@cemi.rssi.ru
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Theme F: International migration and migrant populations
Convenor: Mr. Marek Okólski, Poland
Address: University of Warsaw, Faculty of Economics,
ul. Długa 44/50, PL-00-241 WARSAW, Poland
E-mail: Marek.Okolski@mercury.ci.uw.edu.pl
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Session F 1: International migration and European integration
Organiser: Anatoly Vishnevsky, Russia vishne@mail.ecfor.rssi.ru ; agvish@comtv.ru
Wednesday, August 27, 9.30 -11.00, room D
- Joaquin ARANGO (Spain). Is there a southern European model of immigration? arango@cps.ucm.es
- Sonja HAUG (Germany). East-west migration from Central and Eastern Europe to Germany. Different data sets, different migration models and different predictions of migration potential. sonja.haug@destatis.de
- Vladimir IONTSEV and Irina IVAKHNIOUK (Russia). Russia - EU: migration realities and perspectives. iontsev@mail.econ.msu.ru ivakhniouk@mail.econ.msu.ru
- Julda KIELYTE (Switzerland). Impacts of East-West migration: conflicting discourses of population mobility in transition countries. Julda.Kielyte@wto.org
Session F2: Economic causes and effects of international migration
Organiser: Marek Okólski, Poland Marek.Okolski@mercury.ci.uw.edu.pl
Friday, August 29, 9.30-11.00, room D
- George GROENEWOLD and Tineke FOKKEMA (Netherlands). Receipt of remittances and their effect on emigration intentions in Egypt, Morocco and Turkey. groenewold@nidi.nl fokkema@nidi.nl
- Roel JENNISSEN (Netherlands). Macro-economic determinants of international migration in transition countries. jennissen@nidi.nl
- Pawel KACZMARCZYK (Poland). A micro level approach to migration analysis. The case of contemporary labour migration from Poland. pkaczmarczyk@wne.uw.edu.pl
- Alexei KALITSEV (Russia). Illegal migration as a factor of economic growth. mosseikine@mail.ru
- Yana TROUKHINA (Russia). Economic convergence as a factor of labor migration to the eu states. Mila_sib@zmail.ru
- Hendrik VAN DALEN, George GROENEWOLD and Jeannette SCHOORL (Netherlands).
Out of Africa: what drives pressure to emigrate? Dalen@nidi.nl, Schoorl@nidi.nl, groenewold@nidi.nl.
Session F 3: Gender, international migration and integration
Organiser: Joaquin Arango, Spain arango@cps.ucm.es
Thursday, August 28, 11.30-13.00, room E+F
- Agata GÓRNY (Poland). Bi-national marriages in settlement migration to Poland: the case of Ukrainian migrants. agata@gorny.najlepsze.pl
- Nicolas PERRIN (Belgium). Polish women in Belgium. From immigrant strategies to migration statistics. perrin@spri.ucl.ac.be
- Ewa KĘPIŃSKA (Poland). The role of gender in temporary labour migration from Poland. ewa_kepinska@poczta.onet.pl
- Krystyna SLANY and Agnieszka MAŁEK (Poland). Women's emigration from Poland during the period of the political system transformation. k.slany@iphils.uj.edu.pl; aga.malek@wp.pl
- Helga de VALK and Aart C. LIEFBROER (Netherlands). Family formation of Turkish and Moroccan youngsters in Netherlands: how strong is the influence of the family. valk@nidi.nl liefbroer@nidi.nl
Session F 4: Ethnicity-specific characteristics of immigrants' behaviours
Organiser: Krystyna Slany, Poland slany@isps.pl; k.slany@iphils.uj.edu.pl
Friday, August 29, 15.00-16.30, room A+B
- Oxana FAIS-LEOUTSAKAIA (Russia). Migration situation in Moscow and economic niches occupied by migrants. fays@genebee.msu.ru
- Aleksandra GRZYMALA-KAZLOWSKA (Poland).Vietnamese migrants in Poland. akazlowska@wp.pl
- Marie-France VALETAS (France). Migrants' children first names. valetas@ined.fr
- Eileen TRZCINSKI and Sherrie KOSSOUDJI (USA). Behaviour surround childbirth: an examination of labour force behaviour among immigrant and German women.
e.trzcinski@wayne.edu kossoudj@umich.edu
- David COLEMAN and Martin D. SMITH (UK). Projection of the ethnic minotiry populations in Britain. david.coleman@socres.ox.ac.uk martin.smith@socres.ox.ac.uk
Session F5: Metamorphoses of migrants' status
Organiser: Mark Tolts, Israel mtolts@h2.hum.huji.ac.il
Thursday, August 28, 15.00-16.30, room D
- Luigi Di COMITE and Michela C. PELLICANI (Italy). Can children be a factor of immigrant population through the education system? l.dicomite@scienzepolitiche.uniba.it mc.pellicani@scienzpolitiche.uniba.it
- Izabela KORYS (Poland). Self-rationalisation: criteria of rationality in respondents' explanation of international return migration. pkorys@wne.uw.edu.pl
- Margaret MICHALOWSKI (Canada). Who is staying and for how long: recent re-migration trends among Canada's immigrants. michmar@statcan.ca
- Uzi REBHUN (Israel). Internal migration among foreign-born in Israel, 1990-1995. How does nativity concentration matter? rebhun@h2.hum.huji.ac.il
- Alexandra FILHON, Francois HERAN, Laurent TOULEMON (France). Regional languages and national languages in France. Transmission within the family during the XXth century. filhon@ined.fr ; heran@ined.fr ; toulemon@ined.fr
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Theme G: Population ageing
Convenor: Mrs. Emily Grundy, United Kingdom
Address: Centre for Population Studies, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,
49-51 Bedford Square, UK- LONDON WC1B 3DP, United Kingdom
E-mail: emily.grundy@lshtm.ac.uk
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Session G1. Population ageing: course and prospects
Organiser: Emily Grundy, United Kingdom emily.grundy@lshtm.ac.uk
Friday, August 29, 15.00-16.30, room C
- Ronald C. SCHOENMAECKERS (Belgium). A demographer's perspective on 'population ageing'. An exploration with emphasis on the differences and similarities between major world regions, now and in the near future. ronald.schoenmaeckers@wvc.vlaanderen.be
- Irina BADURASHVILI, Anne HERM and Michel POULAIN (Georgia/UK/Belgium). Are there any centenarians in Georgia? gcpr@ti.net.ge
- Peteris ZVIDRINS (Latvia). Dynamics, differentiation and prospects of population ageing in the Baltic states. zvidrins@lanet.lv
- Sergei PIROZHKOV, Gaiane SAFAROVA. (Ukraine/Russia). Population ageing in Russia and Ukraine: urban-rural differences. psi@rainbow.gov.ua safarova@emi.spb.su
- Maria CIEśLAK (Poland). A new look at the measurement of the ageing process.
cieslak@credit.ae.wroc.pl
Session G2. Family and household arrangements and support and care of older people
Organiser: Ewa Frątczak, Poland ewaf@sgh.waw.pl
Thursday, August 28, 11.30-13.00, C_Hall
- Alexia PRSKAWETZ, Christian HELMENSTEIN and Yuri YEGOROV (Germany/Austria/Hungary). Wealth and cohort size: stock market boom or bust ahead? fuernkranz@demogr.mpg.de helmen@his.ac.at yegorov@ceu.hu
- Jenny GIERVELD. (Netherlands). Changing living arrangements in hungary and the netherlands: older adults in one- and two-person households, 1990-2001. gierveld@nidi.nl
- Karen GLASER, Cecilia TOMASSINI and Gerdt SUNDSTROM. (UK/Italy/Sweden).Living arrangements and care receipt among older people: an overview of trends. karen.glaser@kcl.ac.uk
- Marjolein BROESE VAN GROENOU and Doorly DEEG (Netherlands). Consequences of changes in availability of long term care in Netherlands, 1992-2002. mi.broese@scw.vu.nl djh.deeg.emgo@med.vu.nl
- Emily GRUNDY, Cecilia TOMASSINI. (UK/Italy).Fertility history and health and mortality in later life among women in England and Wales. emily.grundy@lshtm.ac.uk
Session G3 Active ageing
Organiser: Dorly Deeg, Netherlands djh.deeg.emgo@med.vu.nl
Wednesday, August 27, 15.00-16.30, room C
- Marieke J. Van Der MEER.(Netherlands). Daily activities of younger elderly in different socio-spatial contexts. M.vandermeer@frw.uva.nl
- Karen GLASER, Maria EVANDROU and Cecilia TOMASSINI (UK/Italy).The influence of multiple role occupancy on social activities among midlife wives and husbands in Britain. karen.glaser@kcl.ac.uk
- Nada STROPNIK.(Slovenia). Attitudes towards ageing and the aged in Slovenia. stropnikn@ier.si
- Peter SCHIMANY. (Austria). Attitudes to policy on aging. peter.schimany@oeaw.ac.at
- Lucie EHRENBERGEROVÁ (Czech Republic). Image and position of elderly people in Czech society. lucik@c-box.cz
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Theme H: Population and policies
Convenor: Mrs. Charlotte Höhn, Germany
Address: Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung,
PO Box 5528, D-65180 WIESBADEN, Germany
E-mail: Charlotte.Hoehn@destatis.de
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Session H1: Family-related policies
Organiser: Charlotte Höhn, Germany charlotte.hoehn@destatis.de
Friday, August 29, 9.30-11.00, room A+B
- Majda ČERNIČ ISTENIČ (Republic of Slovenia). Preferences to reconcile family and professional life versus reality in Slovenia. majdaci@alpha.zrc-sazu.si
- Irena KOWALSKA (Poland). Demographic changes and family policy in Poland: attitudes and behaviours. ikowal@sgh.waw.pl
- Beatrice MANEA (Romania). Attitudes towards social and population policies in a changing society. beti@imas-inc.com
- Anneli MIETTINEN (Finland). Time or money? The preference of family policy measures among 20-40-year-old Finnish men and women. anneli.miettinen@vaestoliitto.fi
- Vlada STANKUNIENE (Lithuania). Family policy in Lithuania: assessments and needs. vladast@ktl.mii.lt
Session H2: Gender and migration policies
Organiser: Gerda Neyer, Austria neyer@demogr.mpg.de
Thursday, August 28, 11.30-13.00, room A+B
- Ladislav RABUSIC and Ales BURJANEK (Czech Republic). Active Czech immigration policy and potential public resistance. rabu@fss.muni.cz
- Magdalena MUSZYŃSKA (Poland). Gender; structural conflict, and family formation in Poland. magda_muszynska@lycos.com
- Aiva JONKARYTE (Lithuania). Changing gender roles in the family in Lithuania. aivaj@ktl.mii.lt
- Irene TAZI-PREVE (Austria). Do men and women perceive inequality within their partnership and/or within society? - A case study from Austria. irene.tazi@oeaw.ac.at
- Andrzej OCHOCKI (Poland). Poverty, family and social policy in Poland. ochocki@internet.pl
Session H3: Population and family policies
Organiser: Paul Demeny, United States of America pdemeny@popcouncil.org
Saturday, August 30, 9.30-11.00, C_Hall
- Marc CALLENS and Christophe CROUX (Belgium). The impact of education on third births. A discrete time multilevel hazard analysis. Marc.Callens@econ.kuleuven.ac.be Christophe.Croux@econ.kuleuven.ac.be
- Parsla EGLITE (Latvia). Role of the state's support to families in their decision to have a child. spiceina@lza.lv
- Gaiane SAFAROVA (Russia). Population ageing, household structure and their policy implications in urban societies (the case of Saint Petersburg). safarova@emi.spb.su
- Nadezda H. ORLOVA (Russia). The demographic tendencies in the contemporary Russian family. nadinor@mail.ru
Session H4: Population-related policies in more developed and in developing countries
Organiser: Charlotte Höhn, Germany charlotte.hoehn@destatis.de
Friday, August 29, 15.00-16.30, room D
- Paul DEMENY (USA). The politics of intergenerational transfers and its demographic implications. pdemeny@popcouncil.org
- Janusz BALICKI (Poland). Population policy and women's policy in developed countries (the case of Poland). jbali@gsd.gda.pl
- Gerda NEYER and Gunnar ANDERSSON (Germany). Fertility and family policies in Europe. neyer@demogr.mpg.de andersson@demogr.mpg.de
- Karsten HANK and Michaela KREYENFELD (Germany). A multilevel analysis of child care and fertility in Germany. hank@demogr.mpg.de kreyenfeld@demogr.mpg.de
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Theme I: Population and development
Convenors:
Dominique Tabutin, Belgium and Jacques Veron, France
Address: Institut de demographie, UCL
1, Place Montesquieu, bte 17, B-1348 LOUVAIN LA NEUVE, Belgium
E-mail: tabutin@demo.ucl.ac.be
Address: INED
133 boulevard Davout, 75 980 PARIS CEDEX 20, France
E-mail: veron@ined.fr
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Session I1: Population and development
Organisers: Dominique Tabutin and Jacques Veron, France tabutin@demo.ucl.ac.be, veron@ined.fr
Wednesday, August 27, 9.30-11.00, room A+B
- Letizia MENCARINI and Gustavo de SANTIS (Italy). An analysis of the value of children and fertility in rural areas of South Africa and India. mencarin@ds.unifi.it
- Amandine LEBUGLE-MOJDEHI (France). The fertility transition in rural Iran: a result of development programs? lebugle@ined.fr
- Elena AMBROSETTI (France). An analysis of fertility determinants in Egypt. ambrosetti@ined.fr
- Cris BEAUCHEMIN, Bruno SCHOUMAKER, Victor PICHE, Dieudonné OUEDRAOGO (Canada). Migration and urbanization in Burkina Faso: the impact of rural development policies. cris.beauchemin@umontreal.ca
- Andrei G. VOLKOV (Russia) The first census of new Russia. niistat@hotbox.ru
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Theme J: Quantitative and qualitative methods
Convenor: Mr. Juha Alho, Finland
Address: Department of Statistics,
P.O. Box 111, Fin -80101 JOENSUU, Finland
E-mail: alho@joyx.joensuu.fi
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Session J1: Advances in research methods
Organiser: Juha Alho, Finland alho@joyx.joensuu.fi
Wednesday, August 27, 15.00-16.30, C_Hall
- Nico KEILMAN (Norway). Model based errors and empirical errors in fertility and mortality forecasts for the Nordic countries. nico.keilman@econ.uio.no
- Jakub BIJAK (Poland). Kohonen's neural network as an alternative method of clustering; an example of regional mortality study of three European countries, 1994-1996. jbijak@sgh.waw.pl
- Francesco BILLARI and Raffaela PICCARRETA (Italy). Studying demographic life courses with sequence analysis. francesco.billari@uni-bocconi.it raffaella.piccarreta@uni-bocconi.it
- Joanna BUSZA (England). Multiple truths: combining methods for sexual health research among sensitive populations. joanna.busza@lshtm.ac.uk
- Gustav FEICHTINGER (Austria). Epidemiological aspects in health planning: illicit drug and HIV. or@e119ws1.tuwien.ac.at
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Theme K: Applied demography
Convenor: Mrs. Filomena Racioppi, Italy
Address: University of Rome "La Sapienza", Dipartimento di Scienze Demografiche,
Via Nomentana 41, I-00161 ROMA, Italy
E-mail: filomena.racioppi@uniroma1.it
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Session K1: Applied demography
Organiser: Filomena Racioppi, Italy filomena.racioppi@uniroma1.it
Thursday, August 28, 9.30-11.00, room A+B
- Giuseppe GESANO (Italy). Use and misuse of applied demography in local governance. gesano@irp.rm.cnr.it
- Vincenzo PATRUNO and Marina VENTURI (Italy). GEODEMO: The web warehouse on demographic statistics and analysis with geographical information systems. patruno@istat.it venturi@istat.it
- Giulia RIVELLINI (Italy). Predicting college enrollement and tax revenue. Results from an Italian student flow model. giulia.rivellini@mi.unicatt.it
- David SWANSON and Louis POL (Finland). Contemporary developments in applied demography in the U.S. david.swanson@mli.hkkk.fi lpol@mail.unomaha.edu
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Theme L: Historical demography
Convenor: Mr. David Sven Reher, Spain
Address: Jordan 23, E-28010 MADRID, Spain
E-mail: soso203@emducms1.sis.ucm.es
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Session L1: Historical demography - Western Europe
Organiser: Eva Bernhardt, Sweden eva.bernhardt@sociology.su.se
Wednesday, August 27, 9.30-11.00, room E+F
- Jan BEISE (Germany).The effect of grandparents on child mortality - results from two pre-modern populations of Germany and Québec. beise@demogr.mpg.de
- Ulrich MUELLER (Germany). Do late children indeed enhance female longevity? Findings from the descendants of King George I of England and his wife Sophie Dorotea within the European Royalty (1683-1939). mueller2@mailer.uni-marburg.de
- Fabrice FORONI, Guy BRUNET, and Alain BIDEAU (France). Kinship networks, mobility and residential histories. fforoni@univ-lyon2.fr Guy.Brunet@ish-lyon.cnrs.fr
- Albert ESTEVE , Joaquin RECAŃO and Angels TORRENTS (Spain). Studying the ecology of urban mortality using spatial analysis: The case of Barcelona (Spain) in the late nineteenth century. jrecano@ced.uab.es
- Evert VAN IMHOFF Gijs BEETS (Netherlands). A demographic history of the Indo-Dutch population, 1930-2002. Imhoff@nidi.nl
Session L2: Historical demography - Eastern Europe
Organiser: Joaquin Recano, Spain jrecano@ced.uab.es
Thursday, August 28, 9.30-11.00, room E+F
- Dalkhat M. EDIEV (Russia). Demographic losses of deported soviet peoples. Dalkhat@hotmail.com Dalkhat@yahoo.com
- Natalia E. TCHISTIAKOVA (Russia). Population of Leningrad (St. Petersburg) during blockade of 1941-1944: structure, mortality, migration. nat@NT1924.spb.edu
- Krzysztof TYMICKI (Poland). Replacement effect and fertility behaviour. An evidence from historical population of Bejsce parish, 18th-20th century, Poland. ktymic@sgh.waw.pl
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Theme M: Gender and generations
Convenor: Mr. Miroslav Macura, Switzerland
Address: Population Activities Unit,
Palais des Nations, CH-1211 GENEVA 10, Switzerland
E-mail: miroslav.macura@unece.org
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Session M1: Gender and generation
Organiser: Miroslav Macura, Switzerland miroslaw.macura@unece.org
Wednesday, August 27, 17.00-18.30, room A+B
- Aurora ANGELI and Alessandra De ROSE (Italy). Gender strategies after a union dissolution. alessandra.derose@uniromal.it
- Maire NI BHROLCHAIN and Wendy SIGLE-RUSHTON (England). Gender contrasts in the supply of partners: relative numbers and relative power. mnibhrol@onetel.net.uk
- Wiktoria WROBLEWSKA (Poland). Gender and health inequalities in Poland. wwrobl@sgh.waw.pl
- Antonella PINELLI (Italy): Gender and demography in developed countries
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Theme O: Population and economy
Convenor: Mr. Zsolt Spéder, Hungary
Address: HCSO Demographic Research Institute,
Angol u. 77, BUDAPEST H-1149, Hungary
E-mail: speder@mailop.ksh.hu
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Session O1: Well-being and demographic structures
Organiser: Zsolt Spéder, Hungary speder@mailop.ksh.hu
Thursday, August 28, 15.00-16.30, room A+B
- Arnstein AASSVE, Simon BURGESS, Carol PROPPER (UK).Modelling poverty transitions as the outcomes of employment, family union, and childbearing decisions in the United Kingdom. aa128@leicester.ac.uk
- Olivia EKERT-JAFFE, Isabelle TERRAZ (France). Are public benefits and family complementary in supporting unemployed? A comparison based on the European Household Panel. ekert@ined.fr
- Peter KRAUSE (Germany). Income capabilities: equivalent income, satisfaction with income and poverty. pkrause@diw.de
- Thomas FENT (Austria). Wealth and education - an intertemporal analytical approach. Thomas.Fent@oeaw.ac.at
- Lorraine Tournyol DU CLOS (France). An economic analysis of the causes and mechanisms of juvenile delinquency. An empirical study of the French evidence. tournyol@ined.fr
Session O2: Labour market and family formation (I)
Organiser: Irena E.Kotowska, Poland iekoto@sgh.waw.pl
Friday, August 29, 15.00-16.30, room E+F
- Christelle De MIRAS (France). Trade-off between women's labour supply and marital choices in France: an outlets constraint effect or a generation effect? demiras@ined.fr
- Angelika TÖLKE (Germany). Transition to marriage and fatherhood; men's contribution to family formation in Germany. toelke@demogr.mpg.de
- Vladimira KANTOROVÁ (Germany). Women's employment and timing of first birth in the Czech Republic: from a centrally planned to an emerging market economy (1970-1997). kantorova@demogr.mpg.de
- Katarzyna KOCOT-GÓRECKA (Poland). Fertility and economic activity of Polish women during the transformation period.
- Andres VIKAT (Germany). Impact of labour-force attachment and earnings on childbearing in Finland in the 1990s. vikat@demogr.mpg.de
- Kirk SCOTT and Gunnar ANDERSSON (Sweden/ Germany). Labour-Market attachment and entry to parenthood: The experience of immigrant women in Sweden. Kirk.Scott@ekh.lu.se andersson@demogr.mpg.de
Session O3: Labour market and family formation (II)
Organiser: Angelika Tolke, Germany toelke@demogr.mpg.de
Wednesday, August 27, 17.00-18.30, room C
- Irena E. KOTOWSKA, Anita ABRAMOWSKA (Poland). Reconciliation of paid work and the family in Poland. iekoto@sgh.waw.pl aabram@sgh.waw.pl
- Ariane PAILHÉ, Anne SOLAZ (France).Is parental time transferable between partners? The case of couples facing unemployment in France. pailhe@ined.fr solaz@ined.fr
- Allan PUUR (Estonia). Female economic activity in Estonia: experience of birth cohorts 1924-1973. allan@ekdk.estnet.ee
- Maarten VAN HAM, C. H. MULDER (Netherlands). Access to child-care and women's labour-force participation. mvanham@fmg.uva.nl c.mulder@frw.uva.nl
- Randi KJELEDSATAD, Marit RONSEN (Norway). Welfare rules, business cycles and employment dynamics among single parents. randi.kjeledsatad@ssb.no marit.ronsen@ssb.no
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Theme P: Population and education
Convenor: Mr. Juan Antonio Fernandez Cordon, Spain
Address: Instituto de Economia y Geografia, Calle Pinar 25, E-28006 MADRID, Spain
E-mail: jafc@ieg.csic.es
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Session P1: Population and education
Organiser: Wolfgang Lutz, Austria, lutz@iiasa.ac.at
Friday, August 29, 9.00-11.00, room E+F
- Zdenek PAVLÍK (Czech Republic). Teaching of demography. pavlik@natur.cuni.cz
- Alina BARAN (Poland). The influence of demographic, social and economic factors on the population of pupils/students in Poland in the 1990's. A.Baran@stat.gov.pl
- M.G. CARUSO, G. GESANO, F. HEINS, D. SABATINO (Italy). Educational attainment and some aspects of Italian demography. heins@irp.rm.cnr.it
- T. Martín GARCÍA, Pau BAIZAN (Spain). A reassessment of the impact of educational enrolment and attainment on the timing of first birth. Joint determinants of education and family formation in Spain. Tmartin@ceacs.march.es Pau.baizan@cpis.upf.es
- Olga TCHOUDINOVSKIKH (Russia). Migratory intentions of the higher school graduates in Russia. olga@mail.econ.msu.ru
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Theme Q: Values and norms
Convenor: Mr. Janusz Balicki , Poland
Address: ul. Dewajtis 5, PL-01-815 WARSZAWA, Poland
E-mail: jbali@gsd.gda.pl
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Session Q1: Values and norms
Organiser: Janusz Balicki, Poland jbali@gsd.gda.pl
Wednesday, August 27, 17.00-18.30, C_Hall
- Eva BERNHARDT (Sweden) and Guy MOORS (Netherlands). Values affecting first births in Sweden. eva.bernhardt@sociology.su.se
- Johan SURKYN (Belgium). Changing attitudes and values across Europe: social cohesion and the role of the family. jrsurkyn@vub.ac.be
- Paola Di GIULIO and Alessandro ROSINA (Italy). Diffusion of cohabitation in Italy: a link between generations? Paola.digiulio@uniroma1.it Alessandro.rosina@mi.unicatt.it
- Ewa FRATCZAK, Janina JÓŹWIAK, Janusz BALICKI, Aneta PTAK-CHMIELEWSKA (Poland). The evaluation of changes in attitudes and behaviours of young and middle-age generations in Poland and their influence on the process of family, union and household formation and dissolution. ewaf@sgh.waw.pl ninaj@sgh.waw.pl jbali@gsd.gda.pl aneta.chmielewska@2com.pl
- Dimiter PHILIPOV (Germany). Fertility in times of ideational shifts and social anomie (the case of Bulgaria). philipov@demogr.mpg.de
- Osman TASTAN (Turkey). Population policy in Islam: realism versus idealism. otastan@hotmail.com
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POSTER SESSIONS
Organiser: Gijs Beets, Netherlands, EAPS Executive Secretary
Address: European Association of Population Studies (EAPS),
PO Box 11676, 2502 AR THE HAGUE, Netherlands
beets@nidi.nl, contact@eaps.nl
PO1: Variations in fertility
Wednesday, August 27, 11.30 - 13.00, C Hall
- Hong YING (Sweden) Effects of changing lives of women on fertility in rural China. hong.ying@sociology.su.se
- Serguey IVANOV (UN). Partnership and reproduction in developed countries. ivanov@un.org
- Karol PASTOR (Republic of Slovakia). Changes in fertile and marital behaviour in Slovakia after 1990. Analysis based on district data. pastor@fmph.uniba.sk
- Mariachiara DI CESARE (Italy). Diffusion processes, innovative behaviours and fertility transition. Main obstacles to fertility decline in India. dicesare@ssc.wisc.edu mariachiara.dicesare@uniroma1.it
- Alessandra DE ROSE and Filomena RACIOPPI (Italy).Family and fertility patterns in comparative research: a multiway approach. Alessandra.Derose@uniroma1.it filomena.racioppi@uniroma1.it
- Kalev KATUS (Estonia). Interaction in fertility and contraceptive carees in Estonia. kalev@ekdk.estnet.ee
- Abdullah KHAN, Robert RAESIDE and John ADAMS (UK). Long-term Fertility Decline in Scotland: An Investigation to Causes and Consequences. A.Khan@napier.ac.uk
- Sofiane BOUHDIBA (Tunisia) "Fertility patterns in the muslim populations living in Europe". s.bouhdiba@voila.fr
- Marina VOJNOVIC, Miodrag TODOROVIC (Serbia). Abortions and reproduction of population in Eastern Serbia. marina@health.org.yu
- Jaroslav KRAUS (Czech Republic).Results from the Czech census records of 1991 and 2001. kraus@natur.cuni.cz
- Vegard SKIRBEKK, Hans-Peter KOHLER and Alexia PRSKAWETZ (Germany). The marginal effect of the school leaving age on the timing of demographic events in early and late adulthood: a birth month experiment in Sweden. Skirbeek@demogr.mpg.de
- A.H.MEHRYAR, S.AHMADNIA, B.DELAVAR, M.HOSSEINI-CHAVOSHI and M.NAGHAVI (Iran). Family planning and fertility decline in Iran: a unique succes story. , MEHR@dena.irpd.ac.ir
- Anton BAJEC (Slovenia). Reasons for low fertility rates in modern Europe and possibilities for overcoming. Anton.bajec@siol.net
PO2: Health and mortality
Wednesday, August 27, 11.30 - 13.00, room D
- Elena ZEMLIANOVA (Russia).Role of female reproductive health level in fertility reduction in 1990-2001 in Russia. zem_lena@mail.ru
- Tatyana KOTZEVA and Dora KOSTOVA (Bulgaria). Sexual activities and standards among bulgarian college students
tanyakotzeva@hotmail.com dgeorgieva@abv.bg
- Jakub BIJAK (Poland). Comparison of traditional and bayesian estimation of cause-specific mortality risk: an example of regional study of three European countries, 1994-96. jbijak@sgh.waw.pl
- T.A. GJALTEMA (Spain). Modeling infant and child mortality research issue: modelling of mortality, demographic and health survey. tgjaltema@ced.uab.es
- Svetlana A. GRUNINA, Valeriy M. KAMENEK (Russia). The analysis of infant mortality in Uljanovskaya region, Russia. svetlanakrasa@fromru.com
- Gaida PETTERE (Latvia). Forecasting possibilities of mortality based on smoothed mortality rates by Tchebyshev's polynomials: case of Latvia. gaida@latnet.lv
- Andrey KUDRYAVTSEV (Russia). Mortality forecasting using morbidity data: underwriting approach. kaa14.Cyber.EcFaculty@mail.econ.pu.ru
- Tonu KOLLO (Estonia). Old Age Mortality Characteristics for Estonia. kollo@ut.ee
- Pekka MARTIKAINEN, Tuija MARTELIN, Seppo KOSKINEN, Elina NIHTILA, Karoliina MAJAMAA "Increasing diferences in mortality by maritial status from 1975 to 2000: changes in sociodemographic, household and cause of death structure" pekka.martikainen@helsinki.fi
PO3: Regional population dynamics and migration Wednesday, August 27, 11.30 - 13.00, room C
- Nick PARR, Fei GUO (Australia).The representation of migrants in professional occupations in Australia. nparr@efs.mq.edu.au fguo@efs.mq.edu.au
- Helge BRUNBORG, Inger TEXMON, Nico KEILMAN (Norway). Mover pool versus gross flows - A comparison of two multiregional population projections models for Norway. hbr@ssb.no
- Juan Antonio MODENES CABRERIZO and Jaoquin RECANO VALVERDE (Spain). The influence of internal migrant origin on urban residential mobility: a case study for Barcelona and Madrid, Spain. jamodenes@ced.uab.es jrecano@ced.uab.es
- Ann HERM (Estonia).An evaluation of migration registration in local administrative unit by matching census and vital records. anne.herm@stat.ee
- Irina IVAKHNIOUK (Russia). Kaliningrad Province: Russia's enclave in the heart of Europe. A new challenge to migration policy. ivakoniouk@mail.econ.msu.ru
- L.P. MAKSAKOVA and M.O. RASHIDOVA (Russia). Migration of population of Uzbekstan in the system of global migration. rashidova@yahoo.com
- Dariusz STOLA (Poland). Why petty traders are petty? The political and economic conditions of international mobility for profit. stola@isppan.waw.pl
- Mark TOLTS (Israel). Mass Aliyah and Jewish emigration from Russia: dynamics and factors. mtolts@h2.hum.huji.ac.il
- Pekka MARTIKAINEN (Finland) Increasing diferences in mortality by martial status from 1975 to 2000: changes in socio-demographic, household and cause of death structure. pekka.martikainen@helsinki.fi
- Małgorzata PODOGRODZKA (Poland). The labour market and reproduction in Poland from the regional perspective,1990-1998
- Jolanta KURKIEWICZ, Danuta WĘGRZYN, Marcin STONAWSKI (Poland).Demographic changes and socio-economic development in Poland by regions in 1990-2002. kurkiewj@ae.krakow.pl wengynd@ae.krakow.pl
- Cristobal MENDOZA (Mexico). Migration from Mexico to the United States. Mpc977@cucea.udq.mx
- Stephane JUSTEAU (France). Economics of international migration. s.justeau@essca.asso.fr
- Miodrag TODOROVIC, Marina VOJNOVIC (Serbia). Emigrant population of Eastern Serbia: demographic and economic consequences. drmile@health.org.yu
- Pál Péter TOTH and Irén GODRI (Hungary) Characteristics of international migration directed at Hungary. tothpp@mailop.ksh.hu, vargaike@mailop.ksh.hu
- Alina POTRYKOWSKA (Poland). "Population change and spatial mobility in the
urban region of Warsaw". a.potryk@twarda.pap.pl
PO4: Selected aspects of population ageing Friday, August 29, 11.30 - 13.00, C Hall
- Zbigniew DLUGOSZ and Slawomir KUREK. (Poland). Population ageing in Europe in the light of selected demographic and social-economic parameters in the years 1975-2000 and perspectives to 2025. sgkurek@ap.krakow.pl
- Anna RUZIK (Poland). Impact of population ageing on the labour market in Poland. A.Ruzik@uvt.nl aruzik@poczta.fm
- Ewa ORZECHOWSKA.Labour force ageing: its impact on employment level and structure. The cases of Japan and Australia. Ewa.Orzechowska@rz.fh-fulda.de Ewa.Orzechowska@unpd.org
- Felix KOSCHIN (Czech Republic). How to solve the economic consequences of population ageing. koschin@vse.cz
- Józef POCIECHA and Krzysztof JAKÓBIK (Poland). Ageing process of post-war baby boom and projections of its economic consequences for social insurance system in Poland. pociecha@ae.krakow.pl
- Antonina V. NOSKOVA (Russia). Older people in Russia: the past and the present. ivashkin@spp.keldysh.ru
- Kamini ANTHONYSAMY Ramachandran RAMASAMY(Malaysia). Networking the ageing population in the information area. kamini@mimos.my
- Ljiljana SEKULIC and Milica DELIC (Serbia). Demographic ageing of population in Serbia. lsekulic@EUnet.yu ; mild@fon.bg.ac.yu
- Dolores PUGA and Antonio ABELLAN Health conditions at advanced ages. Evolution, risk factors and care. dpuga@ieg.csic.es, abellan@ieg.csic.es
- Sara BASSO and Vegard SKIRBEKK (Italy). Effects on firms' profits of ageing
in Italy. sara.basso@uniroma1.it
PO5: Population trends and policies Friday, August 29, 11.30 - 13.00, room A+B
- Sanja CUKUT (Slovenia), Migration and low fertility in postsocialist Slovenia - discourses, policies and practices. sanjacukut@yahoo.com
- Amandine LEBUGLE MOJDEHI (France). The effects of the population policies on the family formation in Iran. lebugle@ined.fr
- Brant LIDDLE (Germany). Analysing the developing country growth collapse of the 1970s and 1980s: demographic influences and regional differences. Liddle@demogr.mpg.de
- Yaghoob FOROUTAN (Australia)A demographic study of women population changes illustrated with the case of Iran: 1956 1996. yaghoob@coombs.anu.edu.au
- Ene-Margit TIIT and Mare VAHI Family relations and birth rate in europe. Trends of development and the current situation. etiit@ut.ee
PO6: Data and methods Friday, August 29, 11.30 - 13.00, room C
- Laura BERNARDI and Holger VON DEN LIPPE. (Germany) The 'why' and the 'how' of fertility choices: a mixed-method approach. Laura_Bernardi@brown.edu vdLippe@demogr.mpg.de
- Heather BOOTH and Len SMITH. (Australia) Decomposing bias and error in population forecasts. heather.booth@anu.edu.au leonard.smith@anu.edu.au
- Ene KÄÄRIK and Ene-Margit TIIT. (Estonia) Modelling fertility distribution using mixtures of distributions. enek@ut.ee etiit@ut.ee
- Robert SEREK. (Poland) Accuracy of population forecasts - ex-post errors in population forecast in Poland, 1970-2000. rserek@sgh.waw.pl
- T.A. GJALTEMA (Spain). Fifty years population forecasting in Netherlands. tgjaltema@ced.uab.es
- Eugeny SOROKO (Russia). Demographic databases and the internet. soroko@demoscope.ru
- Dimitri JDANOV, John WILMOTH, Vladimir SHKOLNIKOV (Germany). Human Mortality Database and some alternatives. jdanov@demogr.mpg.de
- Marie Claire KOISSI (Finland). Determinants of mortality among voluntary insurance subscribes in Finland. lkoissi@abo.fi
- Carel HARMSEN and Abby ISRAËLS (Netherlands). How to combine register and survey data to compose household statistics. chmn@cbs.nl
- Martin SPIELAUER, Karin STAEDTNER and Franz SCHWARZ (Austria). Intergenerational educational transmission within families and the effect of fertility differentials between educational groups on the future educational composition of the population. A dynamic microsimulation model for Austria. Martin.spielauer@oif.ac.at
- Hassan Eini ZINAB (Iran). Evaluation of the impact of family planning programs on fertility: using prevalence model for selected districts in Iran. cirmizqul@yahoo.com
- Cristina RUEDA SABATER and Pilar Rodriguez DEL TIO (Spain). Using a regression model with ARIMA errors in Lee-Carter fertility projections. crueda@eio.uva.es
- P. C. ALVAREZ-ESTEBAN and A. MAYO-ISCAR (Spain). Simultaneous estimation of several homogeneous subpopulations' fertility rates. agustin@med.uva.es
- Alessandra GARBERO (UK). The measurement of self-perception of risk of hiv/aids in Uganda and Tanzania. a.garbero-alumni@lse.ac.uk; alegarbero@libero.it
- Tom WILSON and Martin BELL (Australia) Subnational probabilistic population forecasts: the example of Australia. tom.wilson@uq.edu.au; martin.bell@uq.edu.au
- Jeroen K. van GINNEKEN (Netherlands). Contribution of improvement in education to mortality decline: results of application of several techniques. ginneken@nidi.nl
PO7: Population and environment Wednesday, August 27, 11.30 - 13.00, room A+B
- Giuseppe GESANO (Italy).Shrinking population and expanding footprint in developed societies: evidences from Italian trends. gesano@irp.rm.cnr.it
- Maria WINKLER-DWORAK (Austria). Food security, fertility differentials and land degradation in Sub-Saharan Africa: a dynamic framework. maria.dworak@oeaw.ac.at
- Tiina METSALU (Estonia). Housing conditions in Tallinn at the eve of transition. tiina.metsalu@tallinn.pol.ee
- Brant LIDDLE (Germany). Population and transport: a macro and micro look. Liddle@demogr.mpg.de
PO8: Attitudes and behaviours
Friday, August 29, 11.30 - 13.00, room E+F
- Students: Anna Folbrier, Małgorzata Górecka, Beata Kajcińska, Justyna Kapuśniak, Ewa Korczyc, Anna Matysiak, Maryla Różycka, Julia Strychalska, Marta Styrc, Dorota Węziak, Joanna Wilczyńska, Agata Zadrożna.
Tutor: Wiktoria WRÓBLEWSKA (Poland). What are we like? Life styles and sexual behaviours of students in Poland. wwrobl@sgh.waw.pl
- Eija Maarit OJALA (Finland) The single person - unwanted member of the family-centred community. eija.ojala@vaestoliitto.fi
- Anastasia CHRISTOU (Greece), Imagines of the hostland and construction of the homeland - narrating the ethnos and ethnicizing the self. A.Christou@sussex.ac.uk, anc@geo.aegen.gr
- Lynda CLARKE (England). Fathers' role in family life: a European perspective. lynda.clarke@lshtm.ac.uk
- Duska KNEZEVIC HOCEVAR (Slovenia). Imagining Zadruga in the national affiliations of the descendants of Uskoki at Slovenian-Croatian State border. duska@zrc-sazu.si
- Jimena PUY and Teresa CASTRO (Spain). Being Thirty-something in Spain: new life & family patterns.
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